Chicago Bears vs New York Giants Point Spread Picks

New York's offense has averaged 25.3 points in the last three contests behind QB Jaxson Dart (10 TDs, 3 INTs). The offense is 14th in the NFL on third down. Chicago returns home from a two-game road trip with its defense struggling, having allowed 52 points. Last week, they got by Cincinnati, 47-42, despite allowing 495 yards (449 passing). The defense has slipped to 26th in yards allowed, 25th against the run, and 29th in points (allowing 28.4 per game). The Bears haven't been this big a favorite since last year, when they lost at home to the Patriots, 19-3. Play New York. 

Chicago has lost three of four, but it did manage to pull out a 25-24 win over Seattle when Jimmy Graham caught a 15-yard TD pass from Nick Foles, and then Damiere Byrd made a miraculous catch on the 2-point conversion. Now the Bears have three mediocre quarterbacks to choose from as Justin Fields and Andy Dalton could be available again, although they probably won't take a chance with Fields until his ankle has fully healed. New York has its own QB problems with starter Daniel Jones out for the season, so Mike Glennon and Jake Fromm will likely split duties this week. Saquon Barkley is probable for the Giants, who have had trouble scoring all season, and they are 2-7 UNDER their last nine games. Chicago isn't much better, averaging just 17.7 points this season. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in the low 20s with a slight wind, which won't help the offenses. The Giants are 18-7-1 ATS their past 26 games against teams with losing records and 6-2 ATS in January games. The Bears are 0-5 ATS in January and 0-5 ATS in their last five home games (5-12 ATS overall as favorites). New York is 15-5-1 UNDER as an underdog and 19-6-1 UNDER in its last 26 games overall. Also, Chicago is 19-7 UNDER in its last 26 home games and 23-9 UNDER overall after an ATS win. Play the Giants ATS for a Max Play and also go with the UNDER.

The Giants have been 10-32 over the last 2+ years and it seems like the team is not any closer to a rebuild. QB Daniel Jones has had a few bright moments but overall does he really look like the Giants' QB of the future? The Giants have turned the ball over 24 times in just 10 games. A perspective on that shows that a team that turns the ball over more than two times in an NFL is just 928-3005 ATS. The Bears have a great defense and are likely to cause a few mistakes in this one. The Bears have only faced one team worse than the Giants and that resulted in a 31-15 win vs. Washington. I see a similar score for this one, so play on Chicago.