Chicago Bears vs New Orleans Saints Point Spread Picks

New Orleans was expected to be one of the worst teams in the NFL this season, and here they are at 1-5 despite playing four home games. They hung in there against New England last week, but lost again, 25-19. The offense ranks 28th in points scored (18.5 per game), while the defense ranks 25th in points allowed (26.7 per game) and 24th on third down (41.43%). The Saints have been routed in their two road games, losing 44-13 at Seattle and 31-19 at Buffalo. Chicago has a winning record despite playing only two home games. The offense ranks 10th in points scored (25.2 per game) behind QB Caleb Williams (9 TDs, 2 INTs), while the defense is third in the NFL on third down (30.61%). The wagering value is on the home team to win the game. Play Chicago on the moneyline. Also take the UNDER. The Saints have managed just 32 points in two road games, averaging a meager 4.5 yards per play. Chicago's defense has struggled on the road, but at home, they performed very well against a high-powered Cowboys offense, holding them to just 14 points in this building. I see the Saints struggling to find the end zone in this one. Take the Bears and the UNDER.

New Orleans defeated Indianapolis 38-27 to even its record at 4-4, but the Saints are just 2-5-1 ATS and laying more than a touchdown in this game and they still are 8-2 UNDER their past 10 games. Derek Carr threw for 310 yards and two TDs and the Saints halted a two-game skid. Chicago will likely be without Justin Fields again, but Tyson Bagent has shown that he can compete in the NFL and he threw for 232 yards against the Chargers on Sunday although he did have two interceptions. Bagent was 21 of 29 for 162 yards and no picks the previous week when the Bears beat Las Vegas 30-12. The Saints have injury problems as Jimmy Graham (illness) and versatile Taysom Hill (hip) are questionable. New Orleans is 0-5 ATS its past five home games, 1-6 ATS overall following a win and 1-7-1 ATS as a favorite. The Saints are 22-5 UNDER after totaling more than 350 yards their previous game and 22-7 UNDER following a win. Take the points with the Bears and the UNDER.

New Orleans has won 11 of its last 13 games with and without Drew Brees, and they are 7-2 ATS their last nine games. They prevailed last week at Carolina, essentially without running backs. In a 33-7 victory, Brees threw for 201 yards and three touchdowns and the game went UNDER by seven points. Chicago somehow made the postseason even while enduring a six-game losing streak in the middle of the season and losing to Green Bay 35-16 on Sunday. Mitchell Trubisky completed 33 of 42 for 252 yards with no TDs and an interception against the Packers. The Bears are only #26 in the NFL in yards gained while scoring 23.3 points per game. The Saints are #4 in yards allowed while giving up an average of 21.1 points. New Orleans beat the Bears 26-23 in overtime on Nov. 1 after Chicago had tied it with a field goal near the end of regulation. Wil Lutz won it for the Saints with a field goal in OT. The Bears are 2-6 ATS their last eight playoff games and 6-18 ATS following a double-digit home loss. New Orleans is 36-17-1 ATS its last 54 games after an ATS win and the Saints have gone UNDER five of their last seven playoff games. Chicago is 12-5 UNDER against teams with winning records and 21-8 UNDER after at least a 10-point loss at home. I have two Max Plays on this game. Lay the points with the Saints (Max Play), and take the UNDER (Max Play).

Chicago had been living on borrowed time, eking out wins against mostly mediocre opponents while being at the bottom of the rankings on offense, but the Bears' fortune ran out in a 24-10 loss to the Rams on Monday Night. Nick Foles passed for 261 yards, but the Bears managed just 49 yards rushing, and they have gained a paltry 175 yards on the ground the past four games. Meanwhile, the vaunted defense gave up 372 yards, including 165 rushing yards on 5.0 yards per carry. New Orleans has won three in a row, and Drew Brees continues to defy Father Time as he completed 80.6 percent of his passes for 287 yards and two touchdowns as the Saints beat Carolina, 27-24, on Sunday. New Orleans converted 12 of 14 third downs, and it's ranked #8 in scoring with 30.0 points per game while Chicago averages only 19.7. The Saints are 6-0-1 ATS in Week 8, and they have covered the spread 36 of their last 53 road games. New Orleans won last year's meeting, 36-25, and Chicago is 2-8 ATS following a loss and 6-13 ATS its last 19 games overall. Also, the Bears have gotten the money just twice their last nine games versus teams with winning records. Lay the points with the Saints.

Chicago will have had two weeks to prepare for this game and the Bears will be totally focused after being embarrassed in a loss to the underdog Oakland Raiders in London. That snapped a three-game winning streak and it was the most points allowed by the Bears this season. Chase Daniel filled in for injured Mitchell Trubisky and went 22-of-30 for 231 yards with two touchdowns and two interceptions. Trubisky is probable to return this week. Chicago is 18-7-1 ATS its last 26 home games and it has covered the number 10 of its last 13 versus NFC teams. New Orleans is just 2-5 ATS over its last seven against teams with winning records dating to last season. The Bears have gone OVER in four of its last five when following a bye week and the posted total for this matchup is unusually low. The Saints still are without Drew Brees and Teddy Bridgewater finished 24-of-36 for 240 yards and a TD last week against the Jaguars. The Bears have actually averaged 22.6 points their last three games and the Saints are giving up 20.3 points on the season. Play the Bears and the OVER.