Chicago Bears vs Kansas City Chiefs

Chicago apparently is making a statement as it has breezed through the first three games winning all three by a combined score of 81-26, including last week's 27-3 rout of Cincinnati. Caleb Williams made a good impression, running for a touchdown and leading two scoring drives and completeing 6 of 13 for 75 yards. Tyson Bagent and Brett Rypien were a combined 10 of 12 for 142 yards, with Bagent throwing two TD passes. Chicago coach Matt Eberflus is 7-2 straight up and 8-1 ATS in preseason. Kansas City has lost its first two games (0-2 ATS) and Andy Reid is 46-49 straight up and 43-48-4 ATS in his long preseason career. The Chiefs are 2-4 ATS their past six Game 3 games and incredibly are 2-22 ATS their past 24 preseason games coming off a straight up/ATS loss against a team off a win. The Chiefs have several injuries and Reid doesn't plan on playing the starters. Take the Bears.

The Chicago Bears have had a tumultuous week and getting big points against the Super Bowl champions, but the Chiefs have averaged just 18.5 points their first two games as they lost to Detroit before edging Jacksonville 17-9. Patrick Mahomes threw for 305 yards and two TDs and Travis Kelce returned to the lineup and had a TD catch. Chicago QB Justin Fields spoke out against the way he has been coached and an assistant coach resigned for serious personal reasons. All this could be what the players need to come together as a team and put on a good performance this week. Kansas City is 4-7 ATS its past 11 home games and road teams in September that played on the road their previous game are 26-5 ATS since 2019. The pressure is off the Chicago players as they watch the rest of the organization go through turmoil. Grab the points with the Bears as a Max Play.

Who says Andy Reid doesn't care about preseason games? Kansas City won all three last August. That includes two road games, winning 19-16 at San Francisco in Week 1 and a 17-10 win at Arizona in Week 2. The Chiefs are a veteran team that is off of a trip to the AFC Championship game. Reid has experience with most of his players, where they best fit, and who his third and fourth-stringers are. Even the QB depth is above-average for August: Patrick Mahomes will start, followed by veteran Chad Henne, a former NFL starter from 2009-2013. There's competition for the third QB slot with Shane Buechele and Dustin Crum fighting for jobs. While Kansas City has most of its pieces in place, Chicago is in complete rebuilding mode. They let the majority of their free agents walk on both sides of the line and have a new playbook and head coach in Matt Eberflus. The starters will play the first quarter but they don't have an impressive QB rotation with young Justin Fields and Trevor Siemian. This will be Siemian's fourth different team in four years. In the last three years, he has thrown 23 TDs with 17 picks, and in 33 career games he's been sacked 76 times. Play Kansas City.

The Kansas City Chiefs' offense was scary good last season and still remains quite elite, but Kareem Hunt is not around and Pat Mahomes has thrown 30 fewer TD passes than last year. The Chiefs' offense in recent games saw them gain just 310 yards vs. the Chargers and 259 yards vs. Oakland. They are going to struggle against a very strong Bears' defense. Chicago has played much better of late at 3-1 in their last four and has played seven of their last eight to one-possession games. This is the Bears' Super Bowl and they have not let any team run away with them, and at home, they will put up a huge fight. Take the points on Chicago.

Andy Reid used to be one of the go-against coaches in preseason, but he seems to have had a change of heart as he is 6-4 ATS in exhibition play since 2016. The Chiefs come off a 28-14 victory at Atlanta last week. Pat Mahomes finished 8-of-12 for 138 yards with a touchdown and interception and backups Chad Henne and Matt McGloin combined for 17-of-20, which indicates ample depth at the quarterback position for Kansas City. Chicago is playing its fourth preseason game and it pulled out a one-point win at Denver after losing the first two. Chase Daniel was 19-of-28 for 189 yards and Mitch Trubisky went 9-of-14 for 90 yards with a touchdown and interception for the Bears. The Chiefs have gone UNDER in both games this year and they are 7-3 UNDER their last 10 preseason games. The Chiefs also signed veteran cornerback Orlando Scandrick to help in the secondary. Play the Chiefs and the UNDER.