Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins Point Spread Picks

Combine the Dream (-305) and the Bills (-775) into a 2-team parlay at -208 odds.

These two teams are going in opposite directions. Buffalo has won and covered three in a row, and Miami has lost five of six, including 28-27 to Arizona on Sunday. As time expired, Chad Ryland's 34-yard field goal won it for the Cardinals, who spoiled Tua Tagovailoa's return from concussion protocol. The Bills have won their past three games by a combined score of 88-40, including a 31-10 rout of Seattle last week. Josh Allen threw for 283 yards and two TDs, and James Cook ran for 117 yards and scored two points. Buffalo won the first meeting 31-10 on Sept. 12 and covered both meetings last season. Buffalo is 6-0 OVER as a home favorite and 4-0 OVER as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0 points. The Bills score 28.7 points per game; the past five meetings have averaged 54 points. Thirteen of the past 20 meetings between these teams have gone OVER. Take the Bills and the OVER.

Buffalo was lucky to escape with a 34-28 win over Arizona in Week 1 after the Cardinals blew a 14-point lead. Miami is in a huge revenge spot after losing both meetings last season, and the Dolphins are 9-0-2 ATS as division home favorites of fewer than five points. Jason Sanders kicked a 52-yard field goal as time expired last week, and Miami rallied past Jacksonville 20-17 to earn its first win of the season. Tyreek Hill started the comeback with an 80-yard touchdown catch and finished with seven catches for 130 yards, hours after being detained by police for a traffic violation. The Jaguars were outgained 400-267 and Trevor Lawrence threw for 162 yards for the Dolphins. Miami is 8-2 ATS its past 10 games versus AFC East teams and the Bills are 5-11 ATS overall their past 16 games. The Dolphins have won nine of their past 11 home games and they are 12-5 UNDER their past 17 September games and they have stayed UNDER five of their past six games overall. Buffalo is 12-4 UNDER on the road. Take the Dolphins and the UNDER. 

Miami keeps getting beaten and sometimes destroyed by the better teams in the league and the Dolphins have plenty to be worried about after being humiliated 56-19 at Baltimore on Sunday. The Dolphins were no match for Lamar Jackson, who threw five TD passes and finished with a perfect 158.3 passer rating. Now they're up against Josh Allen, who torched them in the first meeting throwing for 320 yards on 21 of 25 passing and four TDs as the Bills won 48-20 on Oct. 1. Buffalo has won nine of the past 10 meetings and they are peaking at the right time with four consecutive wins following a 27-21 victory over New England last week. Allen ran for two TDs and the Bills picked off Bailey Zappe three times. Buffalo will clinch the AFC East title with a win and a playoff berth with a tie OR a Pittsburgh loss or tie OR a Jacksonville loss or tie OR a Houston-Indianapolis tie. Miami will clinch the AFC East with a win or tie and it already has earned a playoff spot. Buffalo has gone OVER its past two games and, of course, Miami soared OVER by 28 points against the Ravens. Miami is 7-3 OVER versus AFC East teams and Buffalo is 6-2 OVER in division games. Buffalo is 5-1-1 ATS versus teams with winning records. Take the Bills and the OVER.