Joe Brady and Todd Monken struck a similar deal this week: get what they need from the ones in Thursday's joint practice, and lean on the backups once the game starts. Josh Allen already banked his tape in the opener, so Buffalo's offense today runs through Kyle Allen and Shane Buechele, a pair of players who have logged real regular-season snaps between them. Cleveland is handing the start to Shedeur Sanders after Deshaun Watson opened the preseason last week, and Monken has said most of his roster will see the field in some form today. That's a rotation still figuring itself out, which says more about organizational uncertainty than it does about who is actually good. That gap in experience and stability favors Buffalo's group behind center, and both defenses are leaning on roster-bubble players trying to save their jobs before cutdowns, the kind of units that miss assignments and give up chunk plays. That combination pushes scoring up while giving Buffalo's steadier group a path to an outright win. Side with Buffalo on the moneyline, with the OVER as the companion bet this afternoon.
Previous Matchups & Picks
Lines & Odds
Bills vs. Browns Spread Picks
Get this week's Bills vs. Browns point spread picks, including expert ATS picks, computer model projections, betting consensus trends, matchup analysis, key wagering angles, and the latest odds insights for the upcoming game between Bills vs. Browns.
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 71% of the public money was on Buffalo Bills to win on the moneyline. And, 55% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Buffalo would win by a score of 16.4 to 0.0, Buffalo winning on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.
Pro Picks
NFL
Buffalo at Cleveland
1:00 PM Eastern
Final Score
NFL Pro Pick Results
Here’s how my Pro Picks are performing.
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 58% of the public bets were on Buffalo Bills on the -10.5 ATS. And, 56% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Buffalo would win by a score of 26.7 to 16.1 with Buffalo winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 63% of the public bets were on Buffalo Bills on the -7.5 ATS. And, 54% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Buffalo would win by a score of 28.5 to 16.6 with Buffalo winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 65% of the public bets were on Buffalo Bills on the +3 ATS. And, 51% of the bets were on the game to go UNDER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Cleveland would win by a score of 21.9 to 19.5 with Cleveland winning on the moneyline, Buffalo winning on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 52% of the public bets were on Cleveland Browns on the -3 ATS. 51% of the public money was on Cleveland Browns to win on the moneyline. And, 59% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Cleveland would win by a score of 20.6 to 14.7 with Cleveland winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.
Pro Picks
NFL
Buffalo at Cleveland
7:30 PM Eastern
Cleveland followers already are going bonkers over Baker Mayfield, but it's only one preseason game against mostly backups on the opposing team. Mayfield was 11-of-20 for 212 yards and two touchdowns and projected starter Tyrod Taylor completed all five of his passes for 99 yards and a TD against the Giants. The game still went UNDER by five points as New York didn't show much on offense. Buffalo lost 28-23 to Carolina as the Panthers defense was uncharacteristically soft. Nathan Peterman, rookie Josh Allen and AJ McCarron combined for 25-of-39 for 351 yards. Bills' coach Sean McDermott went UNDER three of four preseason games in 2017 and Cleveland coach Hue Jackson went UNDER all four games last year and he's now 10-2-1 UNDER in his preseason career. The posted total is slightly inflated due to Buffalo's performance last week and Mayfield's good showing. However, Buffalo will keep this one close and Mayfield still has a lot to prove. Grab the points with the Bills plus play the UNDER.
Final Score
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