Atlanta Falcons vs Buffalo Bills Point Spread Picks

Bills vs. Falcons Spread Picks

Get this week's Bills vs. Falcons point spread picks, including expert ATS picks, computer model projections, betting consensus trends, matchup analysis, key wagering angles, and the latest odds insights for the upcoming game between Bills vs. Falcons.

Public Consensus

Who was the public on? 62% of the public bets were on Buffalo Bills on the -3.5 ATS. And, 54% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.

Computer Predictions

My computer prediction for this game was that Buffalo would win by a score of 26.8 to 22.1 with Buffalo winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.

Pro Picks

This Pro Pick was released to clients on October 13, 2025 at 11:30AM ET.

NFL

Buffalo at Atlanta

October 13, 2025

7:15 PM Eastern

Buffalo has the second-best rushing attack (154.4 yards per game), consistently moving the chains. That's why they're No. 1 in the league in time of possession. The defense is seventh in yards allowed, having won their lone road game against the Jets, 30-10. Atlanta is second in time of possession and comes off a bye. Mobile QB Michael Penix (3 TDs, 3 INTs) leads an offense that is fourth in rushing yards (136.5 per contest). The Falcons' defense has been outstanding, ranking first in the NFL, allowing just 244 total yards per game. Atlanta is on a 10-5 run UNDER the total. Take Buffalo/Atlanta UNDER the total.

Final Score

1

2

3

4

F

Buffalo Bills

7

0

7

0

14

Atlanta Falcons

14

13

-6

3

24

Public Consensus

Who was the public on? 69% of the public bets were on Buffalo Bills on the -14 ATS. And, 56% of the bets were on the game to go UNDER the total.

Computer Predictions

My computer prediction for this game was that Buffalo would win by a score of 29.4 to 15.3 with Buffalo winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.

Final Score

1

2

3

4

F

Atlanta Falcons

2

13

0

0

15

Buffalo Bills

14

0

8

7

29

Public Consensus

Who was the public on? 74% of the public bets were on Atlanta Falcons on the -8 ATS. 63% of the public money was on Atlanta Falcons to win on the moneyline. And, 50% of the bets were on the game to go UNDER the total.

Computer Predictions

My computer prediction for this game was that Atlanta would win by a score of 30.3 to 20.5 with Atlanta winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going OVER the total.

Final Score

1

2

3

4

F

Buffalo Bills

0

7

7

9

23

Atlanta Falcons

0

10

0

7

17

Public Consensus

Who was the public on? 63% of the public bets were on Buffalo Bills on the -5 ATS. 50% of the public money was on Buffalo Bills to win on the moneyline. And, 56% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.

Computer Predictions

My computer prediction for this game was that Atlanta would win by a score of 24.1 to 23.8 with Atlanta winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.

Pro Picks

NFL

Atlanta vs. Buffalo

December 1, 2013

4:05 PM Eastern

This Atlanta offense has long given up on the season - pretty much when Julio Jones went down. They've scored 13, 10, 13, 28 and 13 points the last five games, and are on a 4-1 run UNDER the total as a result. They are not a quick-strike offense any more and that, coupled with a struggling running game has put a lot of pressure on Matt Ryan. The Falcons have been among the league's top teams in terms of sustaining long scoring drives this season. Atlanta has posted a league-high 26 drives lasting 10 plays or longer. The Bills find themselves sitting at 4-7 in head coach Doug Marrone's first season as injuries have forced them to start three different quarterbacks. They are a conservative, run-first team, ranked No. 27 in the NFL in passing, having their round-robin QBs throwing short, safe passes when they're not running. The UNDER is 13-5 in the Bills' last 18 games in December, and 11-3 UNDER the total following a bye week. In addition, this season the Bills are 4-1 UNDER against teams with losing records. Under Mike Smith, Atlanta is 13-5 UNDER as a dog in the 3.5 to 9.5 point range and 9-2 UNDER in non-conference road games. Look for a conservative game with little scoring. Play the UNDER.

Final Score

1

2

3

4

O

F

Atlanta Falcons

7

10

7

7

3

34

Buffalo Bills

14

3

7

7

0

31

Public Consensus

Who was the public on? 53% of the public bets were on Atlanta Falcons on the -8 ATS. 51% of the public money was on Atlanta Falcons to win on the moneyline. And, 52% of the bets were on the game to go UNDER the total.

Computer Predictions

My computer prediction for this game was that Atlanta would win by a score of 23.4 to 16.3 with Atlanta winning on the moneyline, Buffalo winning on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.

Final Score

1

2

3

4

F

Buffalo Bills

0

0

3

0

3

Atlanta Falcons

7

3

14

7

31