Arizona Cardinals vs Philadelphia Eagles Point Spread Picks

QB Kyler Murray (6 TDs, 4 INTs) hasn't exactly been the savior for the Arizona offense. He's expected to play despite battling an illness this week and backup QB Clayton Tune (0 TDs, 2 INTs) is in the wings if needed. The offense is 24th in total yards, 26th in points, and 17th on third down. Arizona has averaged 13.37 points on the road this season. Philadelphia has averaged 20.5 points over the last four contests. The Eagles are 37-21 UNDER the total at home off a win against a division rival, 48-26 UNDER at home after scoring 30+ points, and 17-6 UNDER at home when facing a team with a winning percentage below 25%. Take Arizona/Philadelphia UNDER the total. 

Philadelphia has been given every chance to win this division, but the overwhelming injuries and the awful showing by QB Carson Wentz this season has put the Eagles in a position where they are playing to stay out of last place. The Eagles still hold out some hope due to Jalen Hurts, who started his first game and was 17 of 30 in his first career start as they snapped a four-game losing streak. Hurts ran for 106 yards and threw for 167 and one touchdown. Arizona broke a three-game losing streak with a 26-7 victory over the New York Giants on Sunday. Haason Reddick had five sacks and three forced fumbles for the Cardinals while Kyler Murray went 24 of 35 for 244 yards and ran 13 times for 47 yards. DeAndre Hopkins had nine catches for 136 yards. The Cardinals obviously have plenty of firepower, and they are #4 in the NFL in total yards gained compared to #26 for Philadelphia. Arizona is not quite a touchdown favorite, and I like them to win straight up. Take the Cardinals on the moneyline.

This game looks like an offensive show with both teams ranked in the bottom 12 in points allowed. Arizona has plenty of offensive punch with QB Carson Palmer, WRs Larry Fitzgerald, Jaron Brown and J.J. Nelson at #11 in the league in total yards. The Cardinals are 30-13 ATS when playing against teams with a winning percentage of 75% or greater. Arizona is also on a 16-5 run OVER the total on the road, plus 35-20 OVER away after having won two of their last three games. They head to Philadelphia, a young team that is third in the NFL in yards, seventh in points (25.8 points per game), but the pass defense has been terrible, surrendering 285 yards per game (#30). The Eagles have allowed 27, 24 and 24 points the last three contests. They just allowed 347 yards passing to QB Philip Rivers (two TDs, no picks) and Philly is 10-22-1 ATS after allowing 350+ total yards in their previous game. In the NFL, road teams like Arizona where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points that are outgaining opponent by 70+ passing yards per game are 67-33 OVER the total. The Cardinals have covered six straight against the Eagles, including a 40-17 rout on this field two seasons ago. Play Arizona and OVER the total.

Sure, this is a night game in Philadelphia, but the weather for Sunday should be great with no wind and relatively warm for this time of the year. That will help the talented Arizona offense behind QB Carson Palmer (31 TDs, nine INTs), and WRs Larry Fitzgerald (1,088 yards), Michael Floyd (652 yards) and John Brown (895 yards). Arizona leads the NFL with 59 passes of 20 yards or more, including 10 for touchdowns, and averages a league-best 417.5 yards per game. Arizona is also #4 in the NFL defensively in yards allowed and #7 in points. The Cardinals have only one road loss all season (six wins) and are 19-8 ATS against the NFC, including 14-4 ATS after a spread loss. The motivation is high as Arizona will claim its first NFC West crown since 2009 with a win or if second-place Seattle loses. A victory would also give the Cardinals a bye to begin the playoffs if Green Bay loses at Oakland. Arizona is 7-3 OVER the total against the NFC, plus a sizzling 74-36-1 OVER after getting more than 350 total yards in their previous game. They face a weak Philadelphia defense, #27 in yards allowed, #24 against the pass. The Eagles are 8-17-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Philadelphia will be able to score some points in this one, too. They are looking much better on offense with QB Sam Bradford back at the controls the last two games, but they simply don't have the defense to stop the Cardinals. Philly lost to Arizona last season as WRs Larry Fitzgerald and Brown combined for 279 yards receiving. Take Arizona (buy the half point to -3) and the OVER.