Washington at Dallas

The Washington Wizards have taken the donut on the road this season at 0-23. Although they haven't won on the road, the winless streak has created overlays against them. They stand at 5-2 ATS in their last seven when taking +9.5 or more, and they have been 4-1 ATS in their last five vs. teams with a winning percentage above .600. The Mavericks have not been a good favorite over the last couple years as they are just 31-45 ATS in their last 76 in the role of a chalk, and have been complete no-shows vs. bad teams. The Mavs have put together a 7-24-2 ATS mark in their last 33 vs. teams with a winning percentage of below .400. I’m backing the dog here and will go with Washington taking the points.