This pick was released to clients on September 21, 2012 at 6:04PM ET.
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Utah at Sacramento

April 6, 2007
img10:05 PM Eastern
Premium Pick
2 units on 1st ½ Total UNDER 98 -110 (risk 2 to return 3.82)
Result:
LOSS

Sacramento has covered six of the last nine vs. Utah including three of the last four here at home. Utah's scoring falls off precipitously on the road as compared to home and of late they are not scoring much (93, 86, 89 in their last three games). Sacramento gets 103 per game at home on the season and they have even picked that up lately soaring over 100 in five of their last six games averaging 104 per game. Utah is just 18-30 ATS in the favorite role this season and 14-24 ATS vs. losing teams this season. The Jazz are also 25-13 UNDER to the first half line vs. losing teams including eight out of their last nine! Yes, Sacramento doesn't have much defense but Utah is also 20-8 UNDER in the first half this season vs. poor defensive teams that allow 46%+ shooting. They are also 16-3 UNDER first half when instilled as a road favorite. Look for a low scoring game in which Sacramento keeps it close and maybe wins.

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