Utah at Miami

I’m surprised that the Jazz are getting so much respect here as they have always been a favorable choice at home, but very suspect on the road where they are just 5-8 on the season. That 5-8 record actually sounds good compared to their bad 1-7 mark vs. teams with a winning record, and with a line of just 1 here, they are in a very unfavorable position. The Heat has done very well in the role of a small favorite where they are now 12-4 ATS as a favorite of 4.5 or less in their last 16. The Jazz has been tortured by Miami going 0-4 ATS in their last four trips here and in the last 11 meetings they are just 1-10 ATS. I'll go with Miami in this one.