2004 Season NBA Basketball Past Picks
May 24, 2005
San Antonio at Phoenix
Tuesday 05/24 09:00 PM Eastern
6 units on San Antonio +4 (-110) (risk 6 to return 11.45) RESULT: win
3 units on San Antonio +175 (moneyline) (risk 3 to return 8.25) RESULT: win
2 units on Game Total OVER 211 -110 (risk 2 to return 3.82) RESULT: win
Hitting 16 of 22 shots in the fourth quarter and scoring 43 points the San Antonio Spurs beat the league's top offense at it's own game sending Spurs backers to the cash window for the sixth consecutive time . The Spurs are fully capable of taking advantage of Suns weak defense that has allowed 108.8 points/game during post season. We all saw how fast Phoenix can put up points, and equally well, how fast they can give them back. That presents an interesting thought on tonight's game. San Antonio is a much different team this year than in previous years. This year they can score in addition to playing defense. Last year they reached the 100 point mark only 19 times, while this year's team has managed to reach the century mark 37 times! Twice as often. Now you have a team in Phoenix that simply races up and down the court, and tries to outscore you. It has worked prior to this series to the tune of the best overall record in the NBA. However what they found out is that San Antonio can defend when they need to, and score just as quickly as well. Let me ask you this: Do you think the Spurs will score 100 points tonight? I do - they showed they can put up points in game one. They have scored 100+ 37 times this season. The linesmakers have made the total 211 (expecting a high-scoring affair). And, Phoenix is giving up 109 per game in the playoffs. On board with that? OK. Good. Now get this:
San Antonio is 54-2 96.4%! the last 2 years when they score 100 or more. They are 35-2 SU this year alone when they reach the century mark. They are 50-6 ATS 89.3% when scoring 100 or more last 2 years, including 33-4 ATS this year (89.2%).
The OVER is 30-7 ATS this year when they reach the century mark, in those 30 wins the OVER covered by an average of 20.2 ppg!!! The last 2 years the OVER is 48-8 ATS 85.7%.
This is as easy as it gets my friends. Six stars on San Antonio +4. Three stars on San Antonio to win straight-up (moneyline) at +175. Two stars on OVER 211. And, a two-star parlay on San Antonio straight-up combined with the OVER which should pay 415 for a 100 bet.