img NBA

San Antonio at New Orleans

May 19, 2008
img8:30 PM Eastern
Premium Pick
4 units on Game Total UNDER 182.5 -110 (risk 4 to return 4)
Result:
WIN

The New Orleans Hornets have lived a life similar to Boston in the playoffs. They have been a perfect 6-0 SU at home and 5-1 ATS. But on the road they are just 1-4 SU and ATS. It has been the theme right throughout the second round of the 2008 playoffs, as San Antonio is also just 1-4 SU and ATS on the road. For the Hornets it goes a lot deeper, as they are now 18-1 SU at home over their last 19, and what is even more amazing about that, is they would also be 18-1 ATS to a line of -4 in those 19 games. And 15 of those games were against playoff teams! The Hornets are young and inexperienced which you could say will hurt them against the Vet Spurs in a pressure game seven. Or, since they don't know any better, they may just not care and instead go out and do what they have been doing at home all season - win. How can we ignore the fact that this season, San Antonio is an atrocious 9-18 ATS on the road vs. winning teams and 3-14 ATS as a road dog of 6 or less? We can't and we won't. Nor will we forget that the Hornets are a perfect 11-0 ATS this season at home revenging a loss. We like the Hornets. We also like the UNDER as game 7's have been filled with low-scoring games in this round over the years. In the semi-finals games 6 and 7 have produced 18 points per game less on average than games 1-5. San Antonio is 32-19 UNDER vs. winning teams this season while New Orleans is 22-12 UNDER vs. teams at .600 or better. The Spurs are 13-5 UNDER on the road to a total in the 180s while New Orleans is 17-5 UNDER revenging a road loss (11-1 UNDER if that loss was by double-digits). Hornets and the UNDER here.

1
2
3
4
T
San Antonio Spurs
23
28
20
20
91
New Orleans Pelicans
20
22
14
26
82
odds odds
 
TAKE THE GUESSWORK OUT OF SPORTS BETTING

Get my free NBA picks and predictions.

Join 424,136 Subscribers!