San Antonio at Memphis

Lots of teams are getting the best of the Spurs of late, so why not Memphis? San Antonio has only lost 15 games on the season, but half of those losses have come in the last six weeks. They have lost three of their last six games including two straight. The absence of Tim Duncan (sprained ankle) is obviously big and I like Memphis to take advantage tonight. The Grizzlies have shown they can beat the Spurs as they handed San Antonio a 109-93 loss in this building at the beginning of the month. The Spurs had Duncan then (but not Tony Parker). I see no reason why the result (a Grizz win) shouldn't be the same here. Memphis is 25-10 in this building, outscoring opponents 103 to 96 on average. Over the past couple of seasons, Memphis is 14-5 at home when facing good offensive teams like San Antonio (those scoring 103+ per game). The Spurs have revenge here, but that hasn't really helped them as they are just 14-17 straight-up seeking revenge over the past couple of seasons. While they probably cover the spread, I'm going with the slightly safer bet of taking Memphis outright on the moneyline.