San Antonio at Houston

There should be a playoff-like atmosphere in Houston tonight, especially with San Antonio, an in-state rival making an appearance. These are two top teams and both are in the NBA's top 10 in fewest points allowed per game. That should be magnified tonight as these teams jockey for position in the NBA West. The Spurs always bring their best defense against the top teams as they have played UNDER to an amazing 17 of 22 vs. teams with a winning record. The Rockets have matched that and more, as they are 20-6 to the UNDER against a team with a winning record as well. That is 37-11 to the UNDER combined for these teams to the UNDER - and that is hard to ignore. I'll play this one to go UNDER the total. It is also hard to ignore the fact that the Rockets are 17-1 in their last 18 at home against anyone other than the Lakers! Giving just over a bucket here is also showing value, and I will also side with the host Rockets here.