One thing has become clear about this series - it's been a home and home with four straight blowout wins for the home team. The Champs suffocating defense in game-four had Ginobili scrambling to find a way to the basket while the rest of the Spurs including Duncan (5-for-17) simply could not find open shots. But it wasn't all defense as the Pistons also received solid offense off the bench with Hunter and McDyess combining for 30-points. The result: A lopsided 102-71 thrashing of the Spurs. The Pistons are now a profitable 12-8-2 in second season along with a cash stuffing 8-2-1 mark at The Palace of Auburn Hills. Detroit is 15-5 ATS last twenty hosting a Western Conference Team and the Spurs dropped their last seven ATS in trips into an Eastern Conference building. They are also 3-9 against-the-spread their last twelve at The Palace and 6-9 ATS their last fifteen as road underdogs. Let's look at some more situational trends here. Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points off 2 straight wins by 10+ points facing an opponent after scoring 80 points or less are 33-9 (79%) since 1996. Against good defensive teams, San Antonio is now 1-5 ATS on the road this season and they are just 1-8 ATS on the road against good overall teams (60%-70% SU). Detroit is 7-1 ATS after allowing 80 points or less 2 straight games and 6-1 ATS off a home blowout win by 20 points or more this season.
Let's look at a few straight-up trends. The Pistons are 21-1 straight-up at home off 2 consecutive covers as a favorite and 20-1 straight-up at home off 2 consecutive non-conference games over the last 3 seasons. They are a perfect 10-0 straight-up at home off 2 straight blowout wins by 15 points or more over the last 3 seasons as well. Now, those are straight-up records but if we see anything like we've seen the first four games (winning team doing it in blowout fashion), then these should carry over the an ATS win as well. Two stars on Detroit minus the points.
San Antonio is 18-4 OVER on the road following a blowout loss by 15 points or more since 1996. They are also 6-0 OVER in road games after scoring 85 points or less this season. Games in which the total is between 170 and 179.5 points featuring a well-rested team off a road loss have gone OVER 46-18 (72%) since 1996. One star on the OVER.