San Antonio at Dallas

The Dallas Mavericks accomplished what they set out to do and that was to steal a game in San Antonio. They negated the home-court advantage with the win, and come home with a chance to close out the series on home hardwood. The Spurs are without a key component to their success as Manu Ginobli will not play in this series. A second component, Tim Duncan is playing on a pair of ailing knees, and took just 10 shots in game two. Tony Parker had perhaps his best game of the year shooting 16-22, producing 38 points. It is unlikely he will do that again. The Spurs have a losing record on the road this season against teams over .500 and without Ginobli, they are going to have to be almost perfect to hang in this one. The Spurs are just 2-7 ATS in their last nine against teams with a winning percentage of .600 or higher. Also, the Mavs have come up big all season after an ATS loss as they are 16-5 ATS in that role. I look for Dallas to come up big in game three.