This pick was released to clients on February 21, 2026 at 10:25AM ET.
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Sacramento at San Antonio

February 21, 2026
img8:00 PM Eastern

The Kings surrender an average of 120.8 points a game, third-worst in the NBA. They are also last in defensive field goal percentage. That defense is only going to get worse with their star big man, Domantas Sabonis, shut down for the season. Sacramento returned from the All-Star break and promptly surrendered 131 points to the Magic two days ago. Orlando is 19th in scoring, averaging 115.4. San Antonio has averaged 131.2 points in its last five wins. The Spurs rank seventh in the league in scoring. San Antonio is at full strength. The Spurs scored 121 points against the Suns in their first game following the All-Star break this past Thursday. Phoenix gives up an average of eight fewer points per game than Sacramento. None of the Spurs starters played heavy minutes against the Suns either. Victor Wembanyam is in for a big game. So is former Kings guard De’Arron Fox, who is second on the team to Wembanyam's 24.2 points a game, averaging 19.4 points per game. Take the OVER.

1 unit on Game Total OVER 230 -110 (risk 1 to return 1.91)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Sacramento Kings
31
34
29
28
122
San Antonio Spurs img
35
38
32
34
139
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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