This pick was released to clients on February 25, 2026 at 12:03PM ET.
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Sacramento at Houston

February 25, 2026
img8:00 PM Eastern

The Rockets just put up 125 points on the Jazz this past Monday. Utah ranks last defensively in the NBA. Now the Rockets face the Kings, who have the third-worst defense in the league, surrendering 121 points a game and last in defensive field goal percentage. Houston is the NBA's top offensive rebounding team. So the Rockets figure to get plenty of put-back baskets, especially with Domantas Sabonis out for the season for Sacramento following knee surgery. Sacramento has no defensive identity. However, the Kings are capable of scoring. Veterans DeMar DeRozan and Russell Westbrook combine to average 34 points a game. The Kings have scored 123 and 122 points during their last two games, both of which went OVER. They also upset the Rockets in the previous two meetings this season. Sacramento has a little more confidence, too, after halting its franchise-worst 16-game losing skid with a 123-114 road win against the Grizzlies two days ago. Take the OVER.

1 unit on Game Total OVER 221.5 -104 (risk 1 to return 1.96)
Result:
WIN
Final
1
2
3
4
F
Sacramento Kings
22
28
26
21
97
Houston Rockets img
33
44
31
20
128
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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