Sacramento is 0-6 after a 136-105 loss at Memphis on Saturday, and the Kings have allowed 128.3 points a game. Dallas is 4-2, and the margins behind that record are thinner than the standings suggest. The Mavericks outscore opponents by 2.5 points a game, 12th in the league by net rating, and their points-based expected record is 3-3. Dallas has won by more than 15 twice in six games, over Indiana and Oklahoma City. Its other two wins came by 4 over Miami and 5 over Houston. Its two losses came by 18 at Houston and 16 against San Antonio. The Mavericks allow 112.0 points per 100 possessions, 16th of 30. Sacramento has scored at least 103 in five of its six games, and Dallas has not topped 121 in any game. Kyrie Irving is questionable with left knee management after scoring 35 against Houston on Friday. With Dereck Lively II out at center, I make Sacramento with the points the right side tonight.
This Pro Pick was released to clients on November 02, 2026 at 10:10AM ET.
Sacramento at Dallas
November 2, 2026
0.5 unit on Sacramento +10.5 (-104) (risk 0.5 to return 0.98)
Result:
WIN
WIN
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