Phoenix at Golden State

This is always a fun game to watch if you like scoring and no defense as each of the last five meetings have produced 238 points or more. The Suns have to be one of the most overrated teams in the NBA, as their ATS results reveal. They are just 8-21 ATS in their last 29, and that includes just 3-6 ATS on the road as a favorite against a team with a losing record. The Warriors have been one of the best teams in the NBA as a small home dog, where they have taken down the line as a +4.5 or less home dog to a 20-7-1 ATS record in their last 28. Overall, the Warriors are 36-15-4 as a home dog in their last 52. This has been a home-team cover type of series since these teams began to run, as the home side has claimed the money in five of the last six. I like the Warriors in this role.