2004 Season NBA Basketball Past Picks
April 08, 2005
Phoenix at Golden State
Friday 04/08 10:35 PM Eastern
1 unit on Game Total OVER 226 -110 (risk 1 to return 1.91) RESULT: WIN
Wow. 226 points is alot. No matter. Don't let the large number scare you away here. Both teams are surging right now and raining points. Phoenix has been unstoppable on the offensive end of the court, putting up 115 or more points in six of their last eight games. They've been scoring so much that they've thrown defense to the wind (allowing 106 per game over their last five). Golden State is also lighting it up, scoring 109 per game over their last five. Their defense is equally suspect. Games with a total of 200+ featuring a hot team (having won 8 or more of their last 10 games), playing a bad team (25% to 40% SU) have gone OVER 34-10 (77%) since 1996. Also, games featuring a great team (75%+ SU) off 5 consecutive wins, playing a team with a losing record have gone over 23-10 (70%) since 1996. Finally, Phoneix is an incredible 21-5 OVER this season when coming off a game in which they scored 60 points or more in the first half. One star on the OVER here.