img NBA

Phoenix at Dallas

April 5, 2009
img3:30 PM Eastern
Premium Pick
3 units on Game Total UNDER 230 -110 (risk 3 to return 3)
Result:
LOSS

This total has gotten near absurd-level. Yes, these teams both love high-scoring games. But 230 is a very high bar to hit and I think it's too high. Emotional bettors have forced the linesmakers to juice this line, but the numbers tell us the value is on the UNDER. Phoenix games average 216 per game and Dallas games average 201 per game. Yes, Phoenix games have averaged 231 points per game over their last five, but there are two teams playing here. Dallas' last five games have averaged just 196! With both teams fighting for the final Western playoff spot, I expect more defense than normal and I like the UNDER here.

FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Phoenix Suns
33
26
25
32
116
Dallas Mavericks img
39
42
33
26
140
odds odds
 
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