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2008 Season NBA Basketball Past Picks

May 20, 2009


Orlando at Cleveland

Wednesday 05/20 08:30 PM Eastern

5 units on Game Total UNDER 184.5 -110 (risk 5 to return 5)  RESULT: loss

4 units on 1st ½ Total UNDER 93 -110 (risk 4 to return 4)  RESULT: loss

The Cavs have really turned it up on the defensive end in the playoffs. The best defense in the NBA in points allowed during the regular season has turning it up a notch further, with no team scoring more than 85 points against them through eight games. Their last 11 home games, not counting the season finale, has seen no team score more than 87 against them on their home floor. The Magic haven't been a consistent offensive team, and for the most part were missing open looks from beyond the arc vs. the Celtics. Those shots will be highly contested vs. the Cavs in this series. The offensive inconsistency, by the high numer of 3's taken by this team has led them to playing 52-20 to the UNDER the last 72 times they scored 100 in their previous game. Their recent trend has also been more defense-oriented as overall, they have played 22 of their last 30 to the UNDER. The Cavs are at their defensive best when they have had some time off. When playing with 3+ days rest, they have come out and played 20 of their last 28 UNDER. Orlando is 26-17 UNDER this season when facing a winning opponent. They are 29-11 UNDER vs. teams that average 100+ ppg. This is the playoffs, and the best defense is playing at home, and will impose its will on the game. I like this one to go UNDER the total.


2008-09 Recent Results

Wins Losses Units
38 31 +3.78

with detailed analysis