Oklahoma City at San Antonio

San Antonio is 42-1 at home this season and 47-39 ATS as it heads into the Western Conference semifinals against Oklahoma City. The teams split the season series two games apiece with the Spurs winning the last meeting 102-98 in overtime on April 12. The Thunder are 40-46-1 ATS and covered all four meetings this season, but the Spurs were overvalued in the last meeting as a 13-point favorite and they sat most of their starters in the previous one. The Spurs are a more reasonable 6 1/2-point favorite in this matchup and have had six days to prepare since winning on Sunday. Oklahoma City's last three games against Dallas all easily went OVER the total and the Spurs went OVER by nearly 30 points in its Game 4 win against Memphis. The Thunder has a .476 field goal percentage as a team and the Spurs .484. Play the Spurs and the OVER.