Oklahoma City at Sacramento

This is a tough total to understand, but I like the value it offers. The Thunder, over their last 30 games going into last season, has scored 100 points or more just four times. That means 87% of the time they are in two digits not three. They are posted as the favorite here with a total of 200, meaning that they are expected to top the century mark, which in all indications, they will be hard pressed to do. Among those 30 games were two with Sacramento and neither topped the 200 mark, and I think this one is set too high. The fact that they scored 100 in their last game makes it more desirable as they are 39-16 to the UNDER after scoring 100+ in their previous game. The Kings have gone UNDER in five straight vs. the Northwest. This one finishes UNDER.