This pick was released to clients on March 01, 2026 at 11:38AM ET.
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Oklahoma City at Dallas

March 1, 2026
img8:00 PM Eastern

So much for any rust factor. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander returned to Oklahoma City's lineup for the first time since Feb. 3 this past Friday and scored 36 points while dishing off nine assists. The Thunder defeated the Nuggets, 127-121, in that game to go OVER for the eighth time in 10 games and fourth consecutive time. Oklahoma City is third in scoring, third in field goal percentage and No. 2 in free throw percentage. The banged-up Mavericks have noticeably slipped defensively. They are permitting an average of 126.3 points per game during their last nine games. That would rank last in the league if it were for the entire season. The Mavericks have been consistently bad defensively during this stretch allowing at least 120 points in eight of their past nine outings. Dallas likes to play fast. The Mavericks have the fourth fastest pace in the league. Despite multiple injuries, the Mavericks have produced 121 or more points in three of their last four games. Take the OVER.

1.5 units on Game Total OVER 233.5 -110 (risk 1.5 to return 2.86)
Result:
LOSS
Final
1
2
3
4
F
Oklahoma City Thunder img
36
22
25
17
100
Dallas Mavericks
25
24
20
18
87
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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