2004 Season NBA Basketball Past Picks
March 04, 2005
New York at Orlando
Friday 03/04 07:00 PM Eastern
2 units on New York +4.5 (-110) (risk 2 to return 3.82) RESULT: loss
1 unit on Game Total OVER 206 -110 (risk 1 to return 1.91) RESULT: loss
After a long dry spell, the Knicks have quietly won four of their last six games and look to have found their groove. Orlando is well rested but well-rested teams off a straight-up win but ATS loss as a favorite are just 31-59 (34%) ATS over the past five seasons. Orlando is 2-11 ATS versus poor defensive teams (those allowing 99+ points/game) this season and since the All-Star break, they are 1-7 ATS vs. losing teams. Two stars on the Knicks to ride their momentum to a cover here. As far as the total goes, games with a total of 200 to 209.5 featuring a team that scored over 110 points (Orlando) facing an opponent off a game with a combined score of 215+ points have gone OVER the total 77% of the time (51-15 over the past five seasons). Also, New York is 31-12 OVERwhen playing against a team with a winning record in 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons. New York has found their offense, scoring 103 points per game over their last five and Orlando is scoring 104 at home this season. Neither team can play defense. One star on the OVER here, as well.