New York at Dallas

The Dallas Mavericks have become one of the top teams in the NBA at 45-21. That doesn't mean that they are running away with games. This team has been the worst mid-level to high favorite team the NBA has ever seen. The last 21 times the Mavs have been favored by 5.5 or more points this season they are 1-20 ATS! That is covering less than 5%. The Knicks have done a poor job on the season, but something about this team playing a high-level team triggers their best basketball. The Knicks, in their last 27 games vs. teams with a winning percentage of over .600, are 29-7 ATS. They are also 30-14-1 ATS on the road vs. a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. I'll grab New York in this one.