New Orleans at Brooklyn

The Hornets have been a strange team this year having streaks of both good and bad. Lately it's been bad. They have lot 11 of their last 15 games against the spread. On the season they are just 10-16 ATS on the road. New Jersey has struggled as a big dog or favorite, but they have gone 10-3 ATS since the new year in games with a spread under five. That includes six straight covers. The Net's problem all season has been defense, but that doesn't bode well for New Orleans as the Hornets are just 3-13 ATS this season against bad defensive teams (those allowing 46% FG). I like the home dog here.