Minnesota at Orlando

Minnesota's 131-106 win at Miami ran 237 combined points, and Orlando's 132-125 loss to Atlanta ran 257. Both totals came off hot shooting nights. Anthony Edwards scored 45 on 16-for-29 shooting with nine 3-pointers, after averaging 28.8 points and 3.4 made threes a game last season. That is 16.2 above his average. Paolo Banchero scored 35 on 10-for-12 from the field and 12-for-16 at the line, against a 22.2 average last season. Orlando's 125 points were 9.3 above the 115.7 it averaged last year. I treat both performances as outliers. Minnesota also held Miami to 106 with Rudy Gobert grabbing 15 rebounds. Chris Finch is still trying lineup combinations with a roster that has LaMelo Ball and Jonathan Kuminga new to it. Orlando is playing its second game under first-year coach Sean Sweeney, and it is down Noah Penda, with Anthony Black also missing his second straight game. Those two shooting nights built the opening totals, and the UNDER is my play tonight.