This pick was released to clients on May 22, 2025 at 10:51AM ET.
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Minnesota at Oklahoma City

May 22, 2025
img8:30 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Oklahoma City fed off the momentum from Sunday's Game 7 win over Denver, while Minnesota suffered from a five-day layoff and lost 114-88 in Game 1. Emotional swings are dramatic in the playoffs, and I look for the Timberwolves to bounce back after shooting just 35 percent and missing 36-of-51 3-point attempts on Tuesday night. The Timberwolves are just looking for a split, and they still have won 16 of their past 20 games, going 6-3 ATS their past nine. The Thunder are on a 3-7 ATS run. The OVER is 11-5 the past 16 meetings at Oklahoma City, and the Thunder will continue to force the Timberwolves to shoot from the outside. Anthony Edwards needs to do better than his 5-of-13 shooting performance in Game 1 while scoring 18 points. Oklahoma City has gone OVER 10 of 13 Thursday home games. Minnesota is 6-0 OVER following a loss and 5-0 ATS its past five games after a loss. Take the Timberwolves and the OVER.

1 unit on Minnesota +7.5 (-108) (risk 1 to return 1.93)
Result:
LOSS
1.5 units on Game Total OVER 216 -108 (risk 1.5 to return 2.89)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Minnesota Timberwolves
25
25
21
32
103
Oklahoma City Thunder img
29
29
35
25
118
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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