Minnesota at Memphis

This one seems easy, right? Memphis has beaten the lowly Timberwolves three times this season by an average of 16 points per game. A loss here gives Minnesota their longest road losing streak of the season. I think they come out fighting and play hard enough to cover this very large number. At 27-10 at home, Memphis knows they can go through the motions and win this game, so I look for a letdown from them. The T-Wolves are a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last six as an underdog of 11+ points. Meanwhile, the Grizzlies are 1-11 ATS in their last 12 games as a favorite of -11 or more. Take the points in this one.