Minnesota at Houston

Anthony Edwards is out until late December after knee surgery, which takes a 33.3-point-a-game scorer out of the Minnesota lineup. The Timberwolves beat Milwaukee 112-100 on Monday, but they set season lows in points and shooting percentage (42.7%), and LaMelo Ball's season-high 34 points did most of the work. Houston is a tougher night for an offense that leans on one guard. The Rockets beat Boston 109-93 on Monday, holding Jayson Tatum to 5-of-16 shooting. Oklahoma City scored 98 in a loss at Houston on Saturday. Those two games finished at 202 and 217 combined, and Houston is 4-0 at home. Kevin Durant took only six shots against the Celtics, and the Rockets still scored 109. They win by controlling the paint and the fast break, not by running up the score. Houston's lead there was 50-34 in the paint and 18-2 on the break, and I don't see a Minnesota scorer who can force a shootout. Our bankroll needs this UNDER to land a little more than half the time. Take the UNDER tonight, because the Rockets' defense is at home against an offense that has lost its best scorer.