Minnesota at Denver

This line is surprising on the surface, as Minnesota has out-played Denver to start the season. But in the long run, I think this number would be different if not based on such a few games. Denver has universally struggled on the road, but you can't overlook the fact that they were 38-3 at home straight-up a year ago, and are always a tough out in this building. They also appear to be getting things together, as they are off a pair of blowout wins in their last two contests. The Nuggets have been their best when facing the best, and own a 10-2 ATS record in their last 12 against a team that is over .600. They have also answered the bell vs. the T-Wolves, covering four of the last five. Go with the Nuggets.