Minnesota at Cleveland

It has been a long and ugly road for the Cleveland Cavs since LeBron left town and this season is heading the same way. Minnesota looked to be a team on the way to growing into a potential playoff threat, but injuries have held them back. They will get an opportunity against a less talented team in Cleveland to steal a rare road win. Minnesota has been a good team responding to a 10 point loss where they are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26, playing well above the line. The Cavs are playing down vs. bad teams winning less than 40% of their road games at 8-20 ATS. When you add those factors together, we get a Minnesota team playing above their numbers and a Cleveland team playing below their numbers, giving the upset has some legs. Over the past three seasons, the Cavs are just 16-28 straight-up at home vs. losing teams. Over that same span, they are 11-17 straight-up when favored. Play on Minnesota on the moneyline.