This pick was released to clients on August 24, 2020 at 12:44PM ET.
img NBA

Milwaukee vs. Orlando

August 24, 2020
img1:30 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Milwaukee was eighth in the NBA during the regular season defensively in points allowed and No. 1 in field goal shooting defense (41.4%). In the playoffs, they've been sixth in points allowed and fourth in field goal shooting defense. After losing Game 1 of this series, the talented Bucks have rolled 111-96 and 121-107. They are 53-35 ATS against losing teams, plus 28-18 ATS after scoring 110+ points in two consecutive games. Milwaukee's defensive pressure has stifled Orlando for long stretches, leading to transition breaks and easy baskets. Orlando is on a 2-7 SU/3-6 ATS run and ranked #18 defensively during the regular season in field goal shooting allowed while having few offensive options after finishing #24 in points scored. Orlando is 18-8 UNDER the total versus teams with a winning percentage above 70%, so back the Bucks again in a defensive duel. Play Milwaukee and UNDER the total.

1 unit on Milwaukee -12.5 (-105) (risk 1 to return 1.95)
Result:
WIN
1.5 units on Game Total UNDER 226.5 -109 (risk 1.5 to return 2.88)
Result:
LOSS
Final
1
2
3
4
F
Milwaukee Bucks img
22
36
26
37
121
Orlando Magic
18
34
29
25
106
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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