Milwaukee at Washington

The Bucks have to keep changing their identity with injuries once again ruling the roost. They opened the season as a half-court team and played five straight UNDERS. Then the injuries began to surface, they shifted gears and have now played 10 of their last 11 to the OVER. They have averaged 103 points per game in the process, but allowed 103. The problem has been when teams try to up-tempo the Bucks, they are having success and I would expect Washington to impose the same strategy. That is definitely the case with the Wizards who are 1-8 ATS when they score under 100 points and 4-3 ATS when they reach 100. The Wizards pick their spot to run and that is when they are favored, leading to a 27-9-2 mark against the OVER when favored. The Wizards speed this one up, so OVER gets the call.