Milwaukee at Miami

Milwaukee is on a 6-0 ATS run against Miami with five outright wins, including its 128-117 win as a 6.5-point underdog on Feb. 24. The Heat have won six in a row, but they have to be having some kind of letdown after Bam Adebayo's incredible and inexplicable 83-point outburst against Washington on Tuesday night. The Heat scored 150 points while missing 30 of 43 3-pointers. The Wizards shot 52 percent and went 15-for-36 from beyond the arc, while the Heat were more focused on getting Adebayo the ball than on playing any defense. Miami is still dealing with several injuries, with five players listed as day-to-day, and Adebayo may still be fatigued after his historic performance. Despite Milwaukee's failed efforts to develop a true defensive identity, this is an excellent setup for them. And despite the recent blowouts, Milwaukee has been outscored by only 5.4 PPG in conference play. Grab the value on the Bucks.