Milwaukee at Indiana

The Milwaukee Bucks made a bold move in the off-season as they acquired Damien Lillard from the Portland Trailblazers. The move equipped the Bucks with the star quality player to play with Gianis. The Bucks record is okay at 5-2, but this team has yet to find the right usage and chemistry. While the Bucks are 5-2, they've had to sweat out all five wins which have come by thin margins of 1,8,5,4, and 2 points. Indiana has gotten off to a very strong start at 5-3. Indiana has found a silky shooting touch at home where they have shot 51.5% from the field in four of their home games. They really have the offense in mid-season form and have averaged 55% shooting in their last two games, and have averaged 143 PPG. Tricky spot for the Bucks tonight. I like Indiana here, along with the UNDER. This total is inflated thanks to the Pacers sitting at 7-1 to the OVER while Milwaukee is 5-2 OVER. Time for an adjustment. The Pacers play significantly better defense at home. Games involving two bad defensive teams like this hit at about 60% to the UNDER. Dating back to the 2021 season, Milwaukee is 28-14 UNDER on the road vs. winning teams and 12-1 UNDER on the road with no rest. Back Indiana and the UNDER.