Milwaukee at Indiana

This is a contrarian play obviously. Milwaukee is 46-7 on the season and they have won five straight and 14-of-15, even without Giannis for some of those games. Indiana has dropped six straight. So what gives with this spread? The oddsmakers are begging you to take Milwaukee. We will go the other way. Giannis is again out for this game, as is George Hill and Kyle Korver. The Pacers are 18-10 in this building, outscoring foes by nearly four points per game. A victory here would go a long way towards healing the wounds of this losing streak and I believe they bring their A-game tonight and lay it all out on the line for the win. Over the past two and a half seasons, the Bucks are just 13-26 ATS in expected tight games (lined at -3 to +3). Meanwhile, over that same span, the Pacers have taken advantage of extended home-cooking, going 34-19 ATS after playing back-to-back home games. Go contrarian and back the Pacers tonight.