Milwaukee at Atlanta

Milwaukee was in a Christmas funk, getting blasted at Philadelphia on Christmas day, 121-109 as a favorite. Now they play another road game two days after Christmas, this time as a huge favorite. NBA road favorites of 10+ points that have won six or seven of their last eight contests are 17-43 ATS if they have a winning percentage of 75%+ against a bad team with winning percentage below 25%. Atlanta is home, working on three days of rest and the Hawks are 30-16 ATS as an underdog of 10+ points. Milwaukee has failed to cover four straight against the Hawks, including a 111-102 victory at home last month. With the Bucks on a 2-5 ATS run in this building, back the big home dog again. Play Atlanta.