Miami at Utah

Think this one is set a bit too low. The Jazz are a scoring team and in their 12 home games on the season they are producing an average of over 100 points a game. The Heat, through nine road games, are averaging 96ppg. I expect this one is going to play closer to the 200 point mark. The Heat are 5-1 to the OVER vs the West, 8-3 to the OVER in their last 11 vs a winning team and have also been 41-20-1 to the OVER vs the NBA Northwest. Utah has now gone 9-3-1  to the OVER following an ATS loss. This series has produced a record of 11-4 to the OVER in the last 15 meetings between these clubs. I'll go with the OVER in this one.