Miami at Philadelphia

The Heat have been impressive on the defensive end during their late surge that shows them at 10-1 over their last 11 games. The Heat have strangled opponents, holding them to 86.1 points per game during the stretch, not counting overtime minutes. That means the offense here would have to generate 197+ to push this one OVER the total, if they hold a pedestrian Philly offense to similar numbers. The Heat have topped that mark just one time during this streak, and just five times since late January! The last six between these clubs played in Philly have failed to reach the total. I like the UNDER here.