These picks were released to clients on January 11, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
img NBA

Miami at Oklahoma City

January 11, 2026
img7:00 PM Eastern

Oklahoma City had shown some rare vulnerability losing two in a row to Phoenix and Charlotte, but the Thunder bounced back to win two straight against Utah and Memphis and both went OVER. The Thunder were missing three starters against the Grizzlies on Friday, but Kenrich Williams hit the go-ahead 3-pointer with 1:07 left and totaled 21 points as Oklahoma City overcame a 21-point third-quarter deficit to win 117-116. Miami has lost three of four and the last two were blowouts, including a 123-99 rout by Indiana, which has the worst record in the league. The Heat shot 39 percent and now have to play a back-to-back against the NBA's defending champions. Miami has allowed at least 122 points in three of its past four games and the Thunder are #2 in the NBA scoring 121.3 per game. Take the Thunder and the OVER.

1.5 units on Oklahoma City -13.5 (-110) (risk 1.5 to return 2.86)
Result:
LOSS
1 unit on Game Total OVER 233.5 -108 (risk 1 to return 1.93)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Miami Heat
34
25
26
27
112
Oklahoma City Thunder img
32
22
39
31
124
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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