Miami at Milwaukee

The Bucks looked doomed after a 4-15 stretch, but they have really come together and have been a vastly improved team as witnessed by their 15-3 mark over their last 18 games. They have also been 15-3 at home in their last 18. Miami has a losing road record on the season, and stand just 1-9 straight-up in their last 10 on the road vs. a team with a winning record. That paints a value-laden picture looking at the moneyline here at under 2-1 odds when the Bucks have cashed 83% of their last 18 at home, and the Heat just 10% of their last 10 on the road vs. a team with a winning record. I'll grab the Bucks here on the moneyline.