This pick was released to clients on January 10, 2026 at 12:01PM ET.
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Miami at Indiana

January 10, 2026
img7:00 PM Eastern

What do you get when you match the fast-tempo Heat against the Pacers, who have the worst record in the NBA? That question was answered on Dec. 27 when the Heat won, 142-116, at home. That is a combined 258 points being produced. Miami didn't even have Tyler Herro and Bam Adebayo in that contest either. That total flew OVER the 237.5 closing line total. This game should go OVER, too. Miami has no injuries to report and fresh legs. The Heat haven't played in three days because their most recent game against the Bulls was postponed due to slippery court conditions. The 7-31 Pacers should play loose after snapping a 13-game losing streak with an upset, 114-112, road victory against the Hornets this past Thursday. Indiana ranks in the bottom five defensively in points allowed, field goal percentage, and rebounds. The Heat have permitted 122 or more points in three of their last five games. Take the OVER.

1 unit on Game Total OVER 234 -112 (risk 1 to return 1.89)
Result:
LOSS
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Miami Heat
18
27
27
27
99
Indiana Pacers img
36
25
38
17
123
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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