Miami at Houston

Miami has won the first two games of this road trip leaning on their great defense. They've won seven of 11 anchored by a defense that is fifth in the NBA in points allowed. Miami is 24-13 ATS after playing two straight road games, plus 84-58 ATS on the road against teams that are outscored by 3+ points per contest. Houston doesn't play much defense, ranked 21st in points surrendered and field goal shooting allowed, and 20th at defending beyond the arc, while the offense is 25th in points scored and dead-last in shooting (44.3%). The Rockets are on a 31-54 ATS run at home, including 27-44 ATS as a home dog. Houston is also 15-33 ATS against teams that score 108 or fewer points per game. Play Miami.