This pick was released to clients on January 01, 2026 at 11:57AM ET.
img NBA

Miami at Detroit

January 1, 2026
img7:00 PM Eastern

Don't expect the Pistons to get in a track meet with the Heat, who lead the league in pace. Detroit may have tired legs after a five-game West Coast trip that concluded Tuesday with a 128-106 victory over the Lakers. That was the Pistons' sixth UNDER in their last eight games. The Heat rank sixth in the NBA in scoring. They want to run. The Pistons play at a much slower tempo compared to Miami. Detroit gives up the fifth-fewest points per game in the NBA at 112.7. The Pistons also rank No. 2 in defensive field goal percentage and are fourth in defensive rebounding. The Heat have a strong perimeter defense. They rank in the top five both in defensive field goal percentage and 3-point defensive percentage. Despite their fast pace, the Heat have gone UNDER in eight of their last 12 games. Take the UNDER. 

1 unit on Game Total UNDER 237.5 -112 (risk 1 to return 1.89)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Miami Heat img
33
30
31
24
118
Detroit Pistons
26
28
27
31
112
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
TAKE THE GUESSWORK OUT OF SPORTS BETTING

Get $50 of premium NBA picks free.

Join 410,604 Subscribers!