2004 Season NBA Basketball Past Picks

March 06, 2005

This pick was released to clients on September 21, 2012 at 4:05PM ET.


Miami at Cleveland

Sunday 03/06 07:35 PM Eastern

3 units on Cleveland +3 (-110) (risk 3 to return 5.73)  RESULT: LOSS

While it appears on the surface that these two teams are going opposite directions, let us not forget how good Cleveland is at home. They score nearly 102 points per game and win by an average of over 8 points per contest. They are 21-7 SU and 17-11 ATS at home. Finally, they are a perfect 6-0 ATS at home versus good shooting teams (making >46% of their shots) over the last 3 seasons. The Cavs are 11-3 when revenging at loss at home this year. Despite their recent slump, Cleveland is still riding a 7-2 ATS streak at home. Cleveland hasn't lost this season coming off 2 games in which they lost SU and ATS (5-0). They covered those five games by an average of 12.5 points per game. They need this game to turn this losing streak around and what better way to do it than against the Heat at home. We'll take the points and Cleveland for three stars.

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