Memphis at Portland

Memphis has topped 100 points in seven of its last 10, but the defense is weak at #15 in field goal shooting allowed, while on a 5-2 run OVER the total. The Gizzlies are also 9-3 OVER on the road against a team with a winning home record. Portland is loaded with offensive weapons and is fifth in the NBA in three-point shooting. Memphis won two of the first three meetings this season, including a 108-103 victory last Wednesday as both teams shot over 48%. That game went OVER the total despite 21 missed free throws, which is highly unusual as both teams are in the top eight in the league from the charity stripe. Play the OVER.